MoreRight Papers Paper 20 — Central Banking

The Interest Rate Decision You Didn't Know Was Made

Central banks move billions with a sentence. The models behind that sentence are never published.

You've Already Seen This

The pattern is in the substrate. Once you see it, you see it everywhere.

The Federal Reserve's rate decision affects every mortgage, every loan, every pension in the country. The models they use are internally developed, regularly revised, and never fully disclosed. Maximum opacity, maximum reach.

The void framework gives this a number. It gives every system a number. The number predicts what happens next.

Central banks move billions with a sentence. The models behind that sentence are never published.

Academic title: The Opacity of Last Resort: Void Architecture in Central Banking and Monetary Policy

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18718947

See the Math in Action

Move the sliders. Watch the system change state. Pe > 1 means drift wins.

Systems Measured

The framework scores these systems — ordered by Pe.

What the Data Says

The correlation coefficient. The sample size. The p-value. The math doesn't care about the domain.

See It Now

Paste any text — AI output, ad copy, a policy document. The scorer runs the same algorithm the framework uses.

The Formula (It's Simple)

Three variables. One ratio. Predicts drift across every domain where the conditions co-occur.

Pe = (O × R) / α

Where O is opacity (how hidden the mechanism is), R is reactivity (how strongly the system responds to you), and α is your independence (how free you are to disengage).

When Pe < 1: diffusion dominates. You can navigate freely. The system is coherent.

When Pe > 1: drift dominates. The system pulls you in a direction. Your agency is reduced.

When Pe >> V* (≈ 3): irreversible cascade. D1 → D2 → D3. The system has captured you.

The framework identifies this pattern in every domain where O, R, and α co-occur. It specifies 26 falsification conditions. 0 of 26 have fired.

Full derivation: 10.5281/zenodo.18718947

Part of the Void Framework — 170 papers, 0/26 kill conditions fired, mean ρ = 0.958.

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